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Home Equity Increases $1 Trillion In Five Years – Is The Market Peaking?<
By: Charles Essmeier
A new survey reveals that in the last five years, the equity in the California
real estate market has increased by more than one trillion dollars. A trillion
dollars is a large number to ponder, but put in concrete terms, it can be
represented by a stack of one hundred dollar bills that is six hundred thirty
one miles high! This astronomical increase in California home values isn’t all
that unique, however. Prices on the East Coast, particularly in the Washington,
D.C. area, are increasing just as rapidly. There are areas on both coasts where
home prices have tripled during the last five years. This, along with the
dramatic increase in interest-only mortgages among homebuyers, suggests that
home prices may be peaking.
In California, 35% of all mortgages written are interest-only mortgages. In
Washington, the figure is a whopping 48%. With an interest-only mortgage, the
homeowner pays only the interest on the home loan for the first few years of
mortgage payments. After the agreed-upon period of time ends, the amount of the
payment is adjusted to include a portion of the principal. This typically
increases the amount of the payment by about one-third. Interest-only mortgages
have gained in popularity as home prices have increased, mostly because buyers
otherwise would not be able to afford to buy homes. The problem with these
mortgages is that for the first few years of payments, the buyers aren’t
actually paying anything for the home itself!
What these statistics tell us is that in California, more than one third of
buyers cannot afford a mortgage that allows them to actually contribute to
paying for the home when they move in, and in Washington, the figure is nearly
one half. Experts disagree on exactly when the hot real estate market will
collapse, but it would seem to the casual observer that when half of all buyers
can’t actually afford to make payments on the home they’ve just purchased, the
collapse may be near.
What does this mean for potential buyers? Anyone considering purchasing a home
in the red-hot markets in California or on the East Coast should carefully
consider whether or not they can actually afford to purchase a home. Qualifying
for a loan isn’t good enough if you can’t actually make payments that will
reduce your principal. If may be wiser to buy in a cheaper outlying area and
commute. Others may wish to rent in the short term in hopes that the prices will
soon decline. It is always difficult to predict which way the real estate market
will go, but a market where one-third to one-half of buyers can’t actually
reduce their principal should set off an alarm for anyone considering a real
estate purchase.
About the Author:
©Copyright 2005 by Retro Marketing. Charles Essmeier is the owner of Retro
Marketing, a firm devoted to informational Websites, including
http://www.End-Your-Debt.com ,
a Website devoted to debt consolidation information and
http://www.HomeEquityHelp.net ,
a site devoted to information on home equity loans. |